UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

How Much Does UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) Cost?

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) currently costs $130.09 USD on the Steam Community Market as of 2026. This price is based on recent market transactions and reflects the average selling price for this specific variant. When considering all wear conditions and variants, prices for the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning range from $5.19 to $199.99.

SteamAnalyst helps you find the best prices by comparing listings across all major CS2 marketplaces in real-time. The exact price varies by individual listing, float value, and pattern index. Use the price comparison table at the top of this page to find the current lowest price and save money on your purchase.

Recent price trends: The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has decreased in value recently. Over the past 7 days, the price changed by 0.0%. Over the past 30 days, the price changed by -12.8%. Review the interactive price charts above for detailed historical data spanning weeks, months, and years.

Where to Buy UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) - Find the Best Price

Use SteamAnalyst to find the best price for UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) across all major CS2 marketplaces. Our price comparison tool aggregates real-time listings so you can instantly see where to get the best deal.

Why use SteamAnalyst for price comparison?

• Real-time price aggregation - We pull live listings from 15+ verified marketplaces, showing you the current lowest prices available.
• Price history tracking - View historical price charts to understand if now is a good time to buy or if you should wait for a better deal.
• Float value filtering - Find items with specific float ranges to get exactly the wear level you want at the best price.
• Instant comparison - No need to check multiple sites manually. See all prices in one place and click through to purchase.
• Verified marketplaces only - We only show listings from trusted, verified platforms to keep you safe from scams.
• Save money - Prices can vary significantly between marketplaces. Our tool helps you find savings of 10-20% or more.

Pro tip: Check the price comparison table at the top of this page before making any purchase. Bookmark this page to monitor price changes over time and buy when the price is right.

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Float Value Explained

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a float value range of 0.0600 to 0.8000. Float value is a decimal number that determines how worn a CS2 skin appears. Lower float values mean less visible wear and scratches. Float value directly impacts the skin's appearance and market price.

What is the best float for UMP-45 | Fallout Warning? The best float value is as close to 0.0600 as possible. For Factory New examples, floats under 0.01 are considered exceptional. Ultra-low "0.00x" floats (four zeros after the decimal) are extremely rare and can command prices 2-5x higher than standard Factory New examples.

How float value affects price: Within the same wear condition, lower floats command significant premiums. For example, a 0.01 float Factory New UMP-45 | Fallout Warning might cost 50-200% more than a 0.06 float of the same condition, even though both are classified as "Factory New." This is because lower floats show less scratches and wear marks, resulting in a cleaner appearance. Always check exact float values using inspection tools before purchasing items over $50.

Is UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) Worth Buying?

Whether UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is worth buying depends on your budget, intended use, and aesthetic preferences. Here's what you should consider:

Pros of buying UMP-45 | Fallout Warning:

• The Fallout Warning finish offers a unique design on the UMP-45
• Higher-value items tend to maintain value better than cheaper alternatives

Things to consider:

• Use SteamAnalyst's price comparison to find the best deal - potential savings of 10-20%
• Check float value before buying - it significantly impacts both appearance and resale value
• Consider if the price fits your overall budget for CS2 cosmetics
• All skins are purely cosmetic - they don't affect gameplay performance

At $130.09, the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) sits in the mid-range tier of CS2 cosmetics. For purchases at this price point, always compare prices using SteamAnalyst to ensure you get the best deal.

Is UMP-45 | Fallout Warning a Good Investment?

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning can be a reasonable investment for 2026, but like all CS2 items, it carries risk. The item has shown recent price decline with a -12.8% change over the past 30 days.

Investment factors to consider:

• Float value: Lower float examples typically appreciate more consistently than higher floats
• Case availability: Items from discontinued cases often appreciate as supply decreases over time
• Market conditions: CS2 market fluctuates based on game popularity, major tournaments, and economic factors

Investment guidelines: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Diversify across multiple items and price points. Focus on low-float examples from established collections. Monitor the price history charts for long-term trends before making decisions. Consider liquidity - ensure you can sell when needed.

What is Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning?

Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is an ultra-rare variant dropped exclusively during CS2 Major Championship tournaments. Souvenir skins feature unique gold-foil stickers commemorating the tournament, match, teams, and MVP player.

Key facts about Souvenir skins:

• Cannot be unboxed from cases - only available as tournament viewer drops
• Feature gold tournament stickers with team logos and player signatures
• Value depends heavily on tournament prestige and player popularity
• Signatures from legendary players (s1mple, ZywOo, NiKo) can multiply value 5-10x
• Considered highly collectible for tournament memorabilia enthusiasts

Souvenir skins are primarily valuable as collectibles rather than for everyday use. Their worth is closely tied to the specific tournament, match significance, and featured player signatures.

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Design & In-Game Lore

The Fallout Warning finish on the UMP-45 features a distinctive design that sets it apart in the CS2 cosmetic ecosystem. The official in-game description reads:

"The misunderstood middle child of the SMG family, the UMP45's small magazine is the only drawback to an otherwise versatile close-quarters automatic. It has been painted using a Digital Disruptive Pattern (DDPAT) hydrographic. By the time you're close enough to notice the pixels it's already too late"

This item belongs to the The Nuke Collection, a themed collection of related designs. Collectors often seek complete collection sets for inventory display purposes.

How to obtain: The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning can be obtained by opening the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, DreamHack 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package, ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package, ESL One Katowice 2015 Nuke Souvenir Package, Krakow 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package or MLG Columbus 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. Case opening has a variable chance of yielding this skin based on its rarity tier.

How to Safely Buy UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

Follow these steps to safely purchase UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New):

1. Use SteamAnalyst for price research - Our price comparison only shows listings from verified marketplaces, helping you avoid scam sites.
2. Compare prices first - Use the price comparison on this page to ensure you're not overpaying. Price differences of 10-20% between platforms are common.
3. Verify float values - For purchases over $50, always check the exact float value before buying. SteamAnalyst displays float information to help you make informed decisions.
4. Check price history - Use SteamAnalyst's price charts to verify the listing price is fair compared to recent sales.
5. Never click suspicious links - Scammers often send fake marketplace links. Always navigate directly to trusted websites.
6. Enable Steam Guard - Use two-factor authentication on your Steam account for added security.
7. Be wary of "too good" deals - If a price seems significantly below market value, it's likely a scam. Use SteamAnalyst to verify fair prices.

Track UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Prices with SteamAnalyst

SteamAnalyst provides comprehensive market tracking tools for the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) and over 20,000 other CS2 items:

• Real-time price comparison - Compare prices across 15+ verified marketplaces instantly to find the best deals
• Historical price charts - View daily price data spanning multiple years to identify long-term trends and optimal buy/sell timing
• Float value database - Search for items by float range with inspect links, screenshots, and pattern information
• Price alerts - Get notified when items hit your target buy or sell prices
• Investment analytics - Access trend analysis, volatility metrics, and liquidity ratings to make informed decisions
• Inventory tracking - Monitor your CS2 inventory value over time and track your investment performance
• Market trends - Stay updated on case releases, operation changes, and market-moving events

Bookmark this page to monitor UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price changes. Our pricing algorithm aggregates data from all major marketplaces and uses time-weighted averaging with outlier filtering to deliver accurate market values you can trust.